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Philip Tetlock: If you turn to session six, slide 117-118, you’re going to see a little piece on the seductive power of scenarios.Imagine you’ve got one of these between subjects designs in which half of the people read the top slide, half of the people read the bottom slide, then they make a judgment about the plausibility or probability of this outcome. This data story builds on previous data stories, which examine the characteristics and educational experiences of English learners (ELs). In this data story we go a step further to explore the academic performance and outcomes for ELs on two key indicators: (1) their proficiency on a national exam, and (2) their high school graduation rate.

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